Rates have increased rapidly this year which is discouraging many would-be homebuyers.  If those same people were house hunting in 2021 they were likely discouraged by the rapid price appreciation (and buyers bidding $10,000’s to $100,000’s over asking price).  Connecting those two discouraging timeframes illustrates an important point: low interest rates did not result in better affordability.  For homebuyers, low rates helped them qualify for a higher loan amount, which meant they qualified for a higher purchase price.  Which led to this:
A Story in Two Charts: Low Rates = High Prices

What to do with this info:

Low rates didn’t stop anyone from losing out on homes.  It just resulted in many people getting outbid in price.  Higher rates should hopefully moderate appreciation rates; CoreLogic expects the national appreciation rate to slow to 5.6% by April of 2023, partly due to the increases in interest rates.  “Slowing” does not mean “declining” – we’re still dealing with some significant supply & demand challenges and that may take some time to figure itself out.

2 responses to “Why Higher Interest Rates Shouldn’t Scare You”

  1. […] uneasy, keep in mind that if/when rates drop, that likely won’t lead to better affordability; historically low rates just lead to increased prices. And if rates drop you can refinance into a lower rate/payment (you can’t refi what you […]

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  2. […] prospective homebuyers, lower rates doesn’t equal better affordability. For current homeowners though, lower rates equals an opportunity to reduce your housing payment […]

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